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Campaigners in Africa and Europe Call for
Immediate
13/02/2007
CEDE, AFRODAD and EURODAD have written to European
Executive Directors of the Bank and Fund to urge
them to come to a swift solution on Liberia's
crippling debt burden
Liberia's President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf will
urge the World Bank, IMF and bilateral donors
to arrive at a swift solution to the country's
debt crisis in an international donor conference
on the country in Washington, DC on 14 February
2007. Liberia owes over US$3.7bn to creditors
which represents over 3000% of exports. To put
this figure in context, the IFIs define a sustainable
level of debt as a debt-to-export ratio of 150%.
Of this sum, US$1.5bn is in arrears to the IMF,
World Bank and African Development Bank. Liberia's
debt is unpayable and uncollectable. This is not
in dispute. However, the country's arrears to
the three multilateral institutions must be cleared
for Liberia to be able to "normalise"
relations with the international community and
obtain debt cancellation and new finance. How
to fund this massive arrears clearance operation
is however the subject of intense political debates.
And it is this question which will be on the table
at the conference on 14 February.
In a letter the IMF Managing Director, President
Johnson-Sirleaf has stressed that she regrets
the slow pace of discussions over how to resolve
the problem. In addition, the President has highlighted
concerns that the HIPC Initiative process may
be lengthy and that the Bank and Fund should recognise
the good progress already made by the government
to address economic reform and governance concerns.
This, she says, should count towards the track
record of policy reform required by the institutions
to enter the HIPC Initiative.
The problem centres around the fact that the
HIPC and MDRI Trust Funds (which finance multilateral
debt cancellation) do not have sufficient funds
to cover the three protracted arrears cases: Liberia,
Somalia and Sudan. Liberia is the first country
of these three in a position to wish to resolve
its arrears and debt situation.
Of the US$1.5bn in arrears, the IMF is owed almost
half (49%). The IMF has outlined a series of options
to finance the arrears clearance operation over
recent months. These include a partial gold sale
(which could take some time to agree), a distribution
of general reserves (this requires 70% of shareholders
to agree), the use of SCA 1 resources (a fund
established in 1987 to protect the IMF against
the non repayment of any member of certain obligations
- most likely the quickest option). Other options
presented also include the provision of an exceptional
PRGF arrangement of sufficient magnitude to cover
the arrears clearance operation (but would also
generate significant new debt). Despite this range
of options presented, the IMF has still stressed
however that the most straightforward solution
would be the provision of external bilateral finance
to cover the treatment of arrears. This position
comes as no great surprise given that the institution
faces an acute financial crisis (of its own making).
But should bilateral donors step-in with sufficient
funds to cover the cost of arrears clearance,
this will most likely be counted as ODA even though
the entire sum will flow to the multilateral institutions
and Liberia will not see a cent. President Johnson-Sirleaf
is also worried that this would slow down the
whole process as donors squabble over how much
to put in and would mean that ultimately less
finance would be available to her government as
a result. In her letter, she stresses that "we
are concerned that a large amount of new[external]
financing may slow the process and reduce the
amount of funding provided directly to Liberia
for reconstruction and development purposes".
In this context, the IMF - as other lenders -
should to take the hit for "bad loans"
on their books, many of which never served the
country's interests in the first place.
With respect to the World Bank, President Wolfowitz
has on several occasions spoken very publicly
of his support for the government of President
Johnson-Sirleaf and of the need to "loosen
the rules" to find a swift solution to the
country's crippling debt burden. He has however
made the pitch to the G7 and other bilateral donors
to pledge new finds to support the resolution
of the country's arrears crisis and to compensate
the World Bank for any looses incurred. In the
event, it appears as though a mixed solution will
be found under which internal bank resources will
be supplemented with external bilateral contributions.
If this is indeed what is agreed in Washington
DC, civil society organisations will need to remain
vigilant as to what extent this assistance is
reported as ODA and expose false aid where donors
have indeed done just that. EURODAD would urge
European donors to exercise leadership and follow
Norway's example of not counting debt cancellation
- or arrears clearance operations - as ODA. This
would be a clear sign that their stated commitments
to the MDGs and to the reconstruction and development
of Liberia are indeed credible commitments.
In sum, negotiations on resolution of Liberia's
arrears crisis need to be speeded up dramatically.
In her letter to IMF Managing Director Rodrigo
de Rato, President Johnson-Sirleaf stresses that
"it is important that Liberians see tangible
results as soon as possible. Since the debt burden
is one of the most visible signs of gross mismanagement
in the past, resolving that issue quickly will
be a significant boost to our efforts". This
will undoubtedly be the message the President
takes to Washington on 14 February and CEDE, AFRODAD
and EURODAD would urge donors to come to a decision
to cancel Liberia's debts immediately, unconditionally
and with full additionality in order to support
Liberia's post-conflict reconstruction and development.
Anything less is not good enough.
Note: Principle European creditors to
Liberia are: Germany (US$232mn), UK (US$76mn),
Italy (US$51mn), Denmark (US$17mn), France (US$16mn),
Norway (US$9mn) and Sweden (US$9mn). In many (if
not most) of these
Source: Eurodad
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