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Background
Debt is a major cause of poverty and hardship for millions of people
in the developing world.
In the most heavily indebted poor countries (HIPCs) of the world:
- 50% of the population live on less than $1 per day
- 1 in 6 children die before the age of 5
- Almost 50 million children are out of school
But the debt crisis arose through no fault of the people who now suffer
under its burden.
A brief History of the Debt Crisis
During the course of the 20th Century, the world became increasingly
dependent on crude oil for industrial development, transport and
energy. In the early 1970s the price of oil increased dramatically.
Oil has traditionally been priced in US dollars and in the 1970s,
economic policies in the United States decreased the value of the
dollar, which in turn diminished the profits made from the sale
of oil. In response to this, the oil-producing countries of the
world raised the price of oil and deposited their profits in commercial
banks in the West.
Role of the Banks
These banks sought every opportunity to invest this money profitably.
Essentially they were under pressure to find borrowers, and since
most western countries were going through a recession, in part due
to the oil price rise, the banks turned their attention to developing
countries. These countries were eager to promote their own development
and cheap loans seemed a very reasonable way to achieve their aims.
However, rather than improve life for those in developing countries,
the loans spiralled out of control and instead created an enormous
debt that has dominated them ever since. Some of the money was spent
on badly designed development projects, or on projects that produced
very low rates of return, thereby making repayment difficult. However,
substantial amounts of money either went to purchase arms, or into
the private bank accounts of corrupt dictators. It is important
to remember that the banks were eager to lend and therefore, not
enough attention was paid to the final destination of the money.
With the cold war dominating international politics, Western leaders
were keen to befriend right wing dictators like Ferdinand Marcos
of the Philippines or Mobutu of Zaire (see
Illigitimate debt).
Increasing Interest Rates and Declining Terms of Trade
Most of the loans had been borrowed at variable interest rates,
pitched at approximately one per cent above the US prime rate. In
1981 this peaked at 21.5 per cent. Economic policy makers in the
US opted to increase interest rates in an effort to attract foreign
investment so as to fuel growth in their own economy. An increase
in interest rates meant an increase in costs to developing countries.
This proved disastrous as it conincided with a serious decline in
their income. Developing countries exported commodities like copper,
tin, sugar and so on and they were dependent on the foreign exchange
to pay their debts. During the late 1970s and on into the early
1980s, commodity prices fell continually. Meanwhile, the interest
on the loans was mounting and so the vicious cycle of debt began.
The International Monetary Fund and World Bank Step in
In 1982, Mexico declared that it was unable to repay its debts.
Mexico owed vast sums of mney to commercial banks in the west and
default posed a serious threat to the stability of the international
financial system. The commercial banks, in conjunction with the
International Monetary Fund (IMF), worked out a system whereby indebted
countries could spread out or reschedule their debts rather than
default. It was during this time that the IMF and World Bank began
to take over much of the debt owed to commercial banks. The IMF
and World Bank offered developing countries new loans with strict
conditions attached.
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